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As Norm Peterson said on Cheers; “it’s a dog eat dog world and I’m wearing milk bone underwear!” If you’re a dog player like yours truly, you’re not feeling too good this morning. Who in the hell made these lines? The job of a bookmaker is to create a line to have balance action on both sides and let me tell you something today, somebody is about to lose their job offshore and in Las Vegas today, because the books took a shit kicking on Thursday with those lines! Let me put it this way, 13 of the 16 favorites won and covered the spread on Day #1 and 14 of them won straight up! The only 2 upsets on the day was UNLV +2 over Kent State and Kansas State +3 over USC. Big deal, nearly pick’em teams! Seriously, who in the hell made these lines? This reminds me of the year when all the NFL favorites won in 2005 and the books never adjusted.
But….that’s why they call it March Madness and if you live by the sword, you die by the sword when you’re an underdog bettor. But don’t worry; there are thousands of people who feel your pain this morning. The chalk players are smiling like a butchers dog today, but let’s hope the law of average even things out.
Are you looking for value on Day #2? Take a look at MD Baltimore County vs. the Hoyas. Don’t let the day of the favorites scare you away from betting on the underdogs the rest of the tournament, because days like yesterday are flukes. Hopefully!
The public teams who will get allot of action today are Georgetown, Memphis, Tennessee, Texas and Louisville and I’ll be fading each one of them.
Go get’em...
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