Ron Raymond's Sports Betting Blog

Here are today's ATS Baseball Stats and Trends for Thursday, June 12, 2008

When OAKLAND team Played as Home team as a Underdog - Vs Conference Opponent - Vs. Left handed pitchers - Coming off a 1 game win - Coming off a Home win
SU Record: 7-3-0
O/U/P Record: 1-9-0

When OAKLAND team played as a Home team - Playing on Thursday - Vs Non Division Opponent - Coming off a Win vs. AL EAST opponent - Scored 8 or less runs FOR in their last game
SU Record: 9-2-0
O/U/P Record: 5-6-0

When NY YANKEES team Played as Road team as a Favorite - After a conference game - Total is between 8.5 to 9.0 - Coming off a 1 game loss - Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog
SU Record: 12-3-0
O/U/P Record: 7-8-0

When NY YANKEES team played as a Road team - Vs. Right handed pitchers - During a night game - Coming off a night game - Coming off a 4 run lost
SU Record: 8-2-0
O/U/P Record: 6-4-0

When BALTIMORE team played as a Road team - Coming off vs. American League opponent - After a division game - Coming off 1 under - Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog
SU Record: 2-10-0
O/U/P Record: 2-9-1

When LOS ANGELES team played as a 120 to 140 road Underdog - Playing on Thursday - Before a non division game
SU Record: 8-2-0
O/U/P Record: 7-3-0

When LOS ANGELES team played as a 120 to 140 road Underdog - Playing on Thursday - Last 5 years
SU Record: 11-2-0
O/U/P Record: 8-5-0

When COLORADO team Played as home team as a Favorite - During the 2008 season - During a day game
SU Record: 4-6-0
O/U/P Record: 2-8-0

When CHICAGO CUBS team played as a home team - During the 2008 season - 3rd game of a series
SU Record: 8-2-0
O/U/P Record: 4-5-1

When ATLANTA team Played as road team as a Underdog - Vs NL Conference - During the 2008 season
SU Record: 2-13-0
O/U/P Record: 3-12-0

When ATLANTA team played as a road team - Vs. Right handed pitchers - During the 2008 season
SU Record: 5-15-0
O/U/P Record: 3-16-1

When ATLANTA team Played as road team as a Underdog - Vs. Right handed pitchers - During the 2008 season
SU Record: 2-8-0
O/U/P Record: 1-9-0

When HOUSTON team Played as home team as a Underdog - After a division game - 3rd game of a series
SU Record: 11-2-0
O/U/P Record: 7-6-0

TEXAS When ANY MLB Team played as a 100 to 120 Road Underdog - Playing on Thursday - During a day game - Coming off a 6 run win - Coming off a night game
SU Record: 8-7-0
O/U/P Record: 3-12-0

NY METS When ANY MLB Team Played as Home team as a Favorite - During the 2008 season - After a non division game - Vs NL WEST opponent - Coming off a Win vs. NL WEST opponent - Scored 5 or less runs FOR in their last game
SU Record: 14-3-0
O/U/P Record: 6-10-1

Here are today's ATSDatabase Baseball Stats and Trends for Friday, May 30, 2008

When LOS ANGELES ANGELS team played as a -120 to -140 Home Favorite - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Vs Non Division Opponent - Coming off a 1 game loss - Scored 2 or more runs FOR in their last game.
SU Record: 14-3
O/U Record: 8-9-0

When ST LOUIS team Played as Home team as a Favorite - Last 2 years - Vs Division Opponent - Coming off a 2 game winning streak - Coming off a Home win.
SU Record: 8-5
O/U Record: 2-10-1

When NY YANKEES team Played as Road team as a Favorite - Playing on Friday - Last 5 years - Coming off a Road win - Coming off a night game.
SU Record: 10-6
O/U Record: 13-3-0

When CHI WHITE SOX team played as a Road team - During a night game - Last 2 years - Allowed 1 runs or less AGAINST in their last game - Coming off a Road win as a Underdog.
SU Record: 5-7
O/U Record: 1-10-1

When SEATTLE team played as a 100 to 120 home Underdog - During a night game - Playing on Friday .
SU Record: 3-8
O/U Record: 8-2-1

When DETROIT team Played as road team as a Favorite - 1st game of a series - Total is 9.5.
SU Record: 12-3
O/U Record: 10-5-0

When CHI WHITE SOX team played as a 120 to 140 road Underdog - During the month of May - Vs. Right handed pitchers.
SU Record: 5-12
O/U Record: 3-14-0

When CHI WHITE SOX team played as a 120 to 140 road Underdog - Vs. Right handed pitchers - During the month of May.
SU Record: 5-12
O/U Record: 3-14-0

TAMPA BAY When ANY MLB Team played as a -140 to -160 Home Favorite - Vs Conference Opponent - After a conference game - Playing on Friday - Coming off a 4 run lost - Coming off a 1 game loss.
SU Record: 8-9
O/U Record: 14-2-1

SAN DIEGO When ANY MLB Team played as a Road team - Playing on Friday - Coming off vs. National League opponent - 1st game of a series - Coming off 1 under - Coming off a 1 game win - Coming off a 3 run win.
SU Record: 6-11
O/U Record: 13-2-2

I’m often asked from new sports bettors, “what’s the difference between a team trend and a system trend?”

A “Team Trend” is when “one” particular team has been involved in certain situational outcomes from past games. A “System Trend” is when “more then one” team has been involved in various situational outcomes.

Now if you’re wondering, which one brings more value to the bettors, well that’s the 64 dollar question boggling bettors the last 20 years and it’s in the eye of the beholder. Here’s the thing, every trend and system trends brings different elements to the situation. If you recalled in my last article this week, I mentioned how “myths” play a big role in the numbers and how gamblers and handicappers like to put allot of stock in such situations like how teams do “vs. left handed pitchers” or this is a popular go against trends, and it’s “to play against a home team from the West Coast coming off a long road trip."

Here’s what my researched as proven on this last trend. Instead of playing against home teams coming off a 10 games or more road trip, you should be “playing on” WEST COAST teams coming off a long road trip, as every WEST COAST teams have a .500 or better record in their first home game after an extended road trip of 10 games ore more.

WEST COAST TEAMS RECORDS
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• San Francisco 15-7 SU and 10 overs 11 unders 1 push
• L.A. Angels 8-7 SU and 8 overs 6 unders 0 pushes
• Arizona 8-8 SU and 10 overs 6 unders 0 pushes
• L.A. Dodgers 9-7 SU and 6 overs 9 unders 1 push
• Oakland 12-8 SU and 13 overs 7 unders and 0 pushes
• San Diego 14-12 SU and 13 overs 12 unders 1 push
• Seattle 15-11 SU and 13 overs 12 unders 1 push

These are team trends, now when I ask the database to give me the result of when “any team is at home and they are coming off a 10 game or more road trip”, the SYSTEM TREND says the home teams are 262 wins, 239 loses and the OVER/UNDER favors the OVER at 262-239-22.

There you have it, there’s value in doing your research and no matter what people think about baseball stats and trends, either Team Trends or System Trends; the numbers don’t lie!

Here’s some Baseball Team and System Trends for Friday, April 18th 2008.

When PHILADELPHIA played as a Favorite - During Last 2 Years - Won Last Game by 8 Runs or More; The Phillies are 11-0 SU in this spot the last 2 years.

When MILWAUKEE Played as road team as a Favorite - During Last 5 Years - Won Last Game by 2 Runs or Less; the UNDER is 6-1-0 for the Brewers in this spot.

When DETROIT played as a road team - During Last 4 Years - Lost Last Game by 10 Runs or More; the Tigers are 0-6 SU in their next game L4Y.

When CLEVELAND team played as a Road team - Playing on Friday - 1st game of a series - Coming off a Home win - Coming off a 1 game win; the UNDER is 9-2-0 for the Indians in this role.

When ANY MLB Team played as a -100 to -120 Home Favorite - 1st game of a series - After a conference game - Vs NL EAST opponent - Coming off a Win vs. NL CENTRAL opponent - Allowed 2 runs or more AGAINST in their last game - Coming off a 1 game win; the OVER is 12-4-0 for the Home Fave in this spot. (Mets vs. Phillies game)

When WASHINGTON team played as Road team as an Underdog - Playing on Friday - Before a conference game - Allowed 3 runs or more AGAINST in their last game - Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog; the OVER is 6-4-0 for the Nationals/Expos in this situation since ’97.

When TORONTO team played as a Home team - 1st game of a series - Playing on Friday - Coming off a Loss vs. AL WEST opponent - Coming off a Home loss; the Toronto Blue Jays are 8-2 SU in this spot since ’97.

When ANY MLB Team Played as Home team as a Favorite - Total is between 9.5 to 10.0 - During the month of April - Coming off a 2 game losing streak - Coming off a night game; the Home Team is 35-17 SU in this role. (Detroit vs. Toronto game)

Ever since I’ve started handicapping baseball, one of the greatest myths I’ve encountered was the “team facing the lefty.” To be honest, there’s some juggling to do for the managers, as some batters cannot hit left handed pitching.

Here are some notable big name players who can’t hit left handed pitchers so far this season.

(Teams - At Bats - Batting Avg.)
------------------------------------
Florida Uggla 18 0.056
Cleveland Michaels 16 0.063
Cleveland Blake 12 0.083
CWS Uribe 10 0.1
Oakland Buck 20 0.1
Angels Anderson 9 0.111
NYY Cano 9 0.111
Cleveland Gutierrez 17 0.118
Cleveland Cabrera 15 0.133
Cleveland Perralta 15 0.133
Atlanta Teixeira 22 0.136
Oakland Barton 22 0.136
Kansas City Gordon 14 0.143
Toronto Thomas 7 0.143
NYM Reyes 13 0.154
Oakland Hannahan 13 0.154
Phillies Laroche 13 0.154
Florida Jacobs 19 0.158
Boston Manny 6 0.167
Boston big Papi 6 0.167
Detroit Cabrera 6 0.167
Oakland Cust 9 0.167
Oakland Ellis 24 0.167
Phillies Bay 12 0.167
Reds Freel 11 0.182
Dodgers Martin 11 0.182
Seattle Ichiro 11 0.182
Seattle Ibanez 11 0.182
Tampa Bay Gomes 11 0.182
Texas Byrd 11 0.182

As you can see, some of the top hitters in baseball have a heck of a time vs. left handed pitching and if you’re the Oakland A’s or the Cleveland Indians, you need to start looking for more right handed batters.

However, here’s the funny thing, the Oakland A’s are 4-3 SU vs. Left handed pitchers this season, but you might want to consider betting on the UNDER, as it’s 6-1-0 on the season when they face the southpaws.

Although it’s only the start of the 3rd week, here’s an early indication on how some teams do vs. left handed pitchers. One thing that jumps out, the Angels and Yankees have been lucky to avoid the southpaws, as they’ve only faced 1 left handed pitcher in the first two weeks of the season. The Milwaukee Brewers are perfect vs. the Randy Johnsons of the world, as they are 5-0 SU vs. lefties and the Diamondbacks and Cards are 5-1 SU. The UNDER is perfect for these teams; Houston (0-4-0), Kansas City (0-4-0) and Texas (0-3-0). Teams who’ve been able to tag the southpaws for runs are Milwaukee (4-1-0) and Pittsburgh (4-1-0).

In general, Road Teams who face left handed pitching this season are 30-22 SU and the OVER/UNDER is 25-27-0. Plus, Road Dogs are 23-17 SU and the UNDER is 22-18-0 in the exact same spot.

Furthermore, using some different angles on where to get a betting edge; when road teams vs. left handed pitchers who are coming off game that started a left handed pitcher, are 11-3 SU this season. Therefore, once a team has seen some left handed pitching, they tend to get better in the second game, so far! Which means, the Oakland A’s (Eveland) would be a nice Baseball Underdog for this evening vs. the White Sox (Danks).

Baseball Tip for Tonight: When ANY MLB Team played as a +100 to +120 Road Underdog - After a conference game - Vs. Left handed pitchers - Coming off a 1 run win - Coming off a Road win as a Underdog; the Road Dog is 11-6 SU in this role since 1997. Play on the Oakland A’s +100.

Every sports bettor has an itch to scratch and for some, this is the longest time of the year, because once the March Madness champions are crowned, it’s officially known as “slow season” in the sports betting industry. By the way, congrats to the Kansas Jayhawks for putting on a great tournament and if you ask me, the Jayhawks won this championship on Sunday March 30th vs. Davidson. If there’s one thing I’ve taken from sports the last 10 years, teams who can overcome games such as the one Kansas (59) and Davidson (57) played, are teams who know how to win. Plus, teams who can make clutch 3-pointers at the buzzer and then carry that momentum in the overtime are teams of destiny. When it’s all said and we look back 10 or 20 years from now, that 3 point shot Mario Chalmers made to send the game into overtime might be considered one of the great clutch shots in tournament history.

Now that Pro Basketball is coming down the final stretch of their season and heading into the playoffs, now is a good time to start dabbing into the baseball betting season and the need for winning baseball picks can be had at the Phoenix Sports Ticket. Sports gamblers for some reason have always said; “Baseball is one of the hardest sports to win on a consistent basis”. However, the Phoenix Sports Ticket has some of the best sports handicappers in the business and you can get their free baseball picks each day in the sports handicapping section.

One of the greatest baseball betting systems I’ve been using the last few years is betting on two baseball underdog picks a day. When you bet on two baseball underdogs, you just need to hit one of the two picks to make a profit for that day and keep in mind, baseball is the type of sport that produces anywhere from 90 to 105 baseball games a week! Therefore, you have anywhere from 10 to 15 games a day and two baseball picks that pay dog money will squeak out a profit. Let’s face it, if you’re a $100, $500 or $1000 bettor, coming out $10, $50 or $250 on a 1-1 day sure feels better than losing betting heavy chalk. Plus, by chance you have a bad day and go 0-2 and let’s face it, we’ve all had those days, and more then once may I add, the sting is less than betting two times -140 chalk!

How are you doing with your baseball picks? Are you winning, are you betting baseball in any particular fashion? If you’re having some problems winning on a consistent basis, don’t be shy to try out a sports service to get you out of your funk, as sometimes it’s wise to let a professional handicapper get you back on your feet and who’s done all the leg work. Let’s face it, it takes allot of time to handicap the games, you just don’t glare the daily newspaper standings and look at the pitching matchups and make your baseball picks. You need to really have a method or a strong valid reason on why you like your sports betting picks, and that’s why by following a sports handicapper can get you back on track.

You wouldn’t buy stocks on your own if you don’t have a clue about what your investing into right? Take the same approach to sports betting, get your winning baseball picks from professional sports handicappers who’ve been around the block and help you build your bankroll. Plus, the nice thing about the set up over at Phoenixsports.com, all the handicappers picks are guaranteed to win or you don’t pay!