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Ron Raymond is a 4-time NFL Handicapping Champion and author of the Sports betting book called “Ron Raymond’s 50 Greatest Sports Betting Secrets.” If you’re looking for Ron’s Top NFL picks for this weekend, you can get them at Phoenixsports.com.
Enjoy Week 4!
Here are some great ATS Trends for this weekend
| Team Name :- OAKLAND RAIDERS |
| Query :- When OAKLAND RAIDERS team played as Road team as a Underdog - Vs Conference Opponent - During the month of October |
| ATS Result :- 6-4-0 |
| SU Result :- 4-6-0 |
| O/U Result :-2-8-0 |
| Team Name :- TENNESSEE TITANS |
| Query :- When TENNESSEE TITANS team played as a pk to -3.0 Favorite - After a non division game - Total is between 37 to 41 |
| ATS Result :- 10-2-0 |
| SU Result :- 10-2-0 |
| O/U Result :-5-7-0 |
| Team Name :- BALTIMORE RAVENS |
| Query :- When BALTIMORE RAVENS team played as a 0 to 3 road Underdog - Vs Non Division Opponent - Last 5 years |
| ATS Result :- 9-2-0 |
| SU Result :- 9-2-0 |
| O/U Result :-7-4-0 |
| Team Name :- TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS |
| Query :- When TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS team played as Road team as a Underdog - Vs Conference Opponent - During Week 1 to 4 |
| ATS Result :- 7-4-0 |
| SU Result :- 4-7-0 |
| O/U Result :-1-10-0 |
| Team Name :- SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS |
| Query :- When SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS team played as a -10.0 or more home Favorite - Playing on grass surface - During the month of October |
| ATS Result :- 8-9-0 |
| SU Result :- 15-2-0 |
| O/U Result :-11-6-0 |
01:00pm
Oakland Raiders 42.0
Houston Texans -9.5
Ron’s View: The Raiders are heading on the road and Tom Cable must use his strength on offense and it’s the running game. I believe they will try to run the football and keep the ball out of the Texans offenses hands, because they can move the ball on offense. Plus, if you read my book, Ron Raymond’s 50 Greatest Sports betting secrets, the bookmakers have put this game at the top of the Las Vegas and Offshore official rotation schedule, which means they want you to bet on Houston -9.5, because with a Oakland cover, they can kill all their parlays with that one silver bullet. Bettors always tend to put that first game on the board in their parlays, so the goal of the bookmaker is to try and kill your parlay right off the hop. Play the Raiders +9.5.
ATSDatabase.com Tip: When ANY NFL Team played as Home team as a Favorite - After a conference game - Playing on grass surface - Coming off a Home loss as a Favorite - Coming off a 4-7 point loss; The UNDER is 19-4-0 for the Home Fave (HOU) in this spot.
Forecast: Houston 20 Oakland 16
01:00pm
Tennessee Titans -3
Jacksonville Jaguars 41.0
Ron’s View: The Titans have faced some tough competition the first 3 weeks of the season and are being respected by the oddsmakers as a -3 point road favorite. Since 2007, the Titans are 7-3-0 ATS as a Road Favorite and the Jags have not been playing good football at home, as they are 1-8 ATS since last year.
ATSDatabase.com Tip: When TENNESSEE TITANS team played as a pk to -3.0 Favorite - After a non division game - Coming off a Road loss; the Titans are 8-2-2 ATS in this spot.
Forecast: Tennessee 24 Jacksonville 16
01:00pm
Baltimore Ravens 44.5
New England Patriots 38.0
Ron’s View: In my view, this is the NFL Game of the Week between two very smart football coaches. Joe Flacco is the most improved QB in the league and the Patriots are not the same on defense. Furthermore, as much as we think defense with the Ravens because of all the great players they have on that side of the ball, the OVER is 11-3-0 for the Ravens as a Road Underdog the last 2 years.
ATSDatabase.com Tip: When BALTIMORE RAVENS team played as Road team as a Underdog - Vs Conference Opponent - During Week 1 to 4; The Ravens are 8-2-1 ATS in this situation.
Forecast: Baltimore 29 New England 26
01:00pm
Cincinnati Bengals -5.5
Cleveland Browns 38.0
Ron’s View: Here’s one of those trap game spots for the Bengals. They beat the Packers at Lambeau 2 weeks ago, they escaped the great theft last week vs. the Steelers and emotionally, they must be drained. Let’s face it, you just beat Green Bay, Pittsburgh and in reality, you should have won in that game in week 1 vs. Denver, so they must be thinking they are a great football team. However, the Browns have their back up against the wall, they’ve made a QB change, Derek Anderson will start this weekend and the bookmakers are being cautious with a -5.5 line. Play the Bengals +5.5.
ATSDatabase.com Tip: When ANY NFL Team played as a -3.5 to -6.5 Favorite - Playing on grass surface - Coming off vs American Conference opponent - With 6 days off - Coming off a Win over AFC North opponent - Scored 22 - 28 POINTS FOR in their last game; The Favorites (CIN) are 17-6-1 SU in this spot.
Forecast: Cincinnati 23 Cleveland 19
01:00pm
New York Giants -9
Kansas City Chiefs 42.0
Ron’s View: I’m still trying to figure out how the Chiefs were able to hang in there with the Ravens in week 1 in Baltimore? The Ravens are a good football team and the Chiefs were able to hold their own. If that team shows up this weekend vs. a good Giants team, they cover the spread. Might be one of those things were the Chiefs get up against good football teams and have a letdown vs. teams like the Raiders. Jury still out on this new head coach.
ATSDatabase.com Tip: When KANSAS CITY CHIEFS team played as a 7 to 9.5 Underdog - Playing on grass surface - Scored more than 10 points in back to back games; The OVER is 13-3-0 for the Chiefs in this spot.
Forecast: NY Giants 31 Kansas City 23
01:00pm
Detroit Lions 39.0
Chicago Bears -10.0
Ron’s View: The Lions are improving and they scored 27 points on the road vs. the 3-0 Saints, so we know they can put some points on the board. The defense is work in progress and the OVER is 12-4-0 for the Lions the last 2 years as a Road Dog. Chicago will be able to move the ball against this defense and the OVER is 17-5-0 for the Bears as a Home Favorite since 2006.
ATSDatabase.com Tip: When CHICAGO BEARS team played as Home team as a Favorite - Last 4 years - After a conference game; the OVER is 10-3-0 for the Bears in this role L4Y.
Forecast: Chicago 30 Detroit 24
01:00pm
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 37.0
Washington Redskins -7
Ron’s View: Maybe the worst game of the week and I’m sure Fox is wishing CBS had this game! Nevertheless, look for the Redskins to man up this weekend vs. the Bucs, or else Jim Zorn will have a mutiny on his hands in the dressing room. Bucs are going with a new pivot this week, so it could catch the Skins off guard, but Cooley is the difference in this game in my view.
ATSDatabase.com Tip: When ANY NFL Team played as a -7.0 to -9.5 Home Favorite - Total is between 37 to 41 - With 6 days off - Coming off a Road loss - Coming off a 4-7 point loss; The HOME FAVE (WAS) is 17-4 Straight up (SU) in this role.
Forecast: Washington 17 Tampa Bay 16
01:00pm
Seattle Seahawks N/A
Indianapolis Colts -9.0
Ron’s View: Still no lines offshore on this game, must be the Seahawks QB situation, but Indy maybe the best football team in the league right now. Peyton Manning is starting to gel with Garcon and if he becomes the new Marvin Harrison, Tom Brady and the Ravens better start worrying if they intend to be in Miami in February.
ATSDatabase.com Tip: None.
Forecast: Indianapolis 29 Seattle 17
01:00pm
New York Jets 45.0
New Orleans Saints -7
Ron’s View: Rex Ryan has done a great job with his aggressive defense, as he’s consistently bringing 7 and 8 men to apply pressure for the QB, but look for Saints Head Coach Sean Payton to use Reggie Bush more in the flats and swing passes to keep the defense at bay. Drew Brees is making some great decisions and could this be the year the Saints make a move?
ATSDatabase.com Tip: When ANY NFL Team played as Home team as a Favorite - With 6 days off - During the month of October - Coming off a Win over AFC East opponent - Coming off a 2 game Road stand; The Home Fave (NO) is 19-4 SU and 15-7-1 ATS in this situation.
Forecast: New Orleans 21 New York Jets 13
3:05 pm
Buffalo Bills -1
Miami Dolphins 37.0
Ron’s View: The Bills are coming off a tough lost to the Saints at home and they must now travel down south for a showdown versus a stingy Dolphins defense. The Dolphins have issues on offense and will be putting in new plays to accommodate Chad Henne their new starting QB this week. Whenever you have a new QB starting, there’s a transition period and it’s going to take time to gel under his watch. The Bills are 4-1-0 ATS as a road team since November of last season and they are 3-0-0 ATS the last 2 years as a Road Favorite. The Bills have the same defense to keep up with the Dolphins, but they have the edge at the QB and Wide Receiver position and they roll in this one.
ATSDatabase.com Tip: When BUFFALO BILLS team played as a pk to -3.0 Favorite - With 6 day off - Coming off 1 game loss; The Bills are 12-5 SU in this spot.
Forecast: Buffalo 27 Miami 9
4:05 pm
St.Louis Rams 37.5
San Francisco 49ers -9.5
Ron’s View: Must have been a gut wrenching feeling for the Niners last week to see that win sail into the end zone on that Hail Mary pass from Favre. The Rams are now going with Kyle Boller as their starting QB, if Bulger can’t go. No matter what, they’ve lost their edge on defense and Steven Jackson isn’t getting the holes needed from the offensive line to bust a move in the trenches. Niners will be without Frank Gore, but they can overcome that problem with Glen Coffey. San Francisco is 4-0 SU in their last 4 home games.
ATSDatabase.com Tip: When ST. LOUIS RAMS team played as a Road team - Playing on grass surface - Last 3 years; The UNDER is 13-3-0 for the Rams on grass the L3Y.
Forecast: San Francisco 31 St.Louis 17
4:15 pm
Dallas Cowboys -3
Denver Broncos 43.0
Ron’s View: The Broncos are 3-0, but have beaten Cincinnati, Cleveland and Oakland. Plus, the Broncos have one of the worst home field records against the spread going back the last 2 years. Denver is 5-12-0 ATS at home the last 2 years and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games. Dallas might win ugly, but they are 2-1 SU on the year and have a decent enough defense to get the road win. Plus, when you consider the bookmakers have made the Cowboys are -3 point road favorite vs. a 3-0 Denver team, maybe they are tipping their hand here?
ATSDatabase.com Tip: When DALLAS COWBOYS team played as a Road team - During Week 1 to 4 - Last 5 years; the OVER is 9-3-0 for the Cowboys in this role.
Forecast: Dallas 28 Denver 20
4:15 pm
San Diego Chargers 43.0
Pittsburgh Steelers -6.5
Ron’s View: The problem is not the offense in Pittsburgh, but it’s the fact Steelers defense can’t hold a lead. When you think Steelers football, you think ground game and defense, right now both of those areas need improving. San Diego must travel east for a Sunday Night showdown vs. the Steelers, a team that resembles the Ravens and we know what happened in Week 2. Can we see the same conclusion here? I think so!
ATSDatabase.com Tip: When PITTSBURGH STEELERS team played as Home team as a Favorite - Total is between 41.5 to 44 - Coming off a lost on grass; The Steelers are 11-2 SU in this spot.
Forecast: Pittsburgh 20 San Diego 20
Monday, October 5th 2009
8:35 pm (ESPN)
Green Bay Packers 45.0
Minnesota Vikings -3.5
Ron’s View: In my view, the Packers should have been a -1 point road favorite in this spot, but when you look at the way the Vikings won their last game, the bookmakers wanted to be cautious, because they know the betting public is going to be hammering the Vikings. The Vikings are 3-0 SU on the season and they’ve beaten bad football teams like Cleveland and Detroit and San Francisco is a decent team on the rise under Singletary. Green Bay could have scored 50 points against the Rams, but settled for 3 field goals in the first quarter last week. The strength of both teams is their defense and this could very well turn into a field goal game and with the hook at the end of that 3, Packer backers cover! However, I like the Packers in OVERTIME with a Greg Jennings long TD pass for the win!
ATSDatabase.com Tip: When GREEN BAY PACKERS team played as a Road team - Playing on Monday - Allowed 14 - 21 AGAINST in their last game; The Packers are 9-2-0 ATS in this spot.
Forecast: Green Bay 30 Minnesota 24