Tags: nhl experts
03/14/09
Ron Raymond's NHL Hockey Picks - March 14th 2009
NY Rangers vs. Philadelphia
Versus
Ron's Comment: Watch out for this home and home series over the weekend, it promises to have all the sparks and flares of a playoff series. However, that's what the Flyers want, they play better when there's some high emotions involved and look for players like Richards and Carter to step up their game. When PHILADELPHIA team played as a home team - Vs Atlantic opponent - With 1 day off - Scored 1 goals FOR in their last game; the Flyers are 9-3 SU in this spot. When NY RANGERS team Played as Road team as a Underdog - before a division game - After a non division game - Coming off a Road win as a Underdog; The Rangers are 1-9-1 SU in this situation since '97.
Prediction: Philadelphia 4 NY Rangers 2
NY Islanders vs. Boston
Versus
Ron's Comment: As much as we respect and thank the Islanders for pulling through on Thursday night at the Bell Centre when they won 3-2 against Montreal as a +220 road underdog, this is your classic letdown spot. Boston rolls in this one! Plus, keep an eye out on Isles goaltender Yan Danis if he gets the nod between the pipes, this guy is playing for a job next year and could be a good choice for a bottom feeder team who needs goaltending. Furthermore, the Bruins are 8-4 SU after a division game this season. When NY ISLANDERS team Played as Road team as a Underdog - During the month of March - After a conference game - Scored 3 or more goals FOR in their last game; the Islanders are 4-16-1 SU in this role since '96.
Prediction: Boston 3 NY Islanders 2
Detroit vs. St.Louis
Versus
Ron's Comment: St.Louis is coming off an emotional win over the Sharks, but the Red Wings absolutely own the Blues, they are 4-0 this season and 6-1 SU in their last 7 head to head meetings. Plus, look for Hossa to be back in the line up any time, which could be today. When DETROIT team Played as Road team as a Favorite - before a division game - With 1 day off - Scored 5 or less goals FOR in their last game; the Red Wings are 15-6-2 SU in this spot since '97.
Prediction: Detroit 4 St.Louis 2
Ottawa vs. Pittsburgh
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Ron's Comment: Nobody wants to face the Penguins under this new regime in Steel City, as new Penguins Head Coach Dan Bylsma has gotten the big guns rolling and Guerin and Kunitz have made an immediate impact on their new teammates. Plus, bad spot for the Sens; they are 3-7 SU when playing their 3rd game in 4 nights this season. When PITTSBURGH team played as Home team as a Favorite - Last 3 years - Total is 5.5 - Coming off a 1 game loss; the Penguins are 11-2 SU in this role the L3Y.
Prediction: Pittsburgh 4 Ottawa 2
Tampa Bay vs. Florida
Versus
Ron's Comment: Just what the Doctor ordered for the Panthers, a good division home game vs. their inter-state rival to get them back in the playoff race. The Lightning are 2-5 SU in Florida in their last 7 meetings and the OVER is 6-1-0. When TAMPA BAY team played as a Road team - Before a conference game - After a conference game - Coming off a 2 game Road stand; The Lightning are 3-7-1 SU in this spot.
Prediction: Florida 3 Tampa Bay 2
New Jersey vs. Montreal
Versus
Ron's Comment: Big night in Montreal, as this is the game Martin Brodeur can tie Patrick Roy in most games won as a goalie and Patrick will be in the building this evening. Brodeur has owned the Habs during his career, he's 34-15-5 (SU) Straight Up and the Devils are 14-5-1 SU in their last 20 head to head meetings with the Canadiens. Big night for the Devils and the bookmakers agree according to the -115 price. When NEW JERSEY team Played as Road team as a Favorite - Vs Non Division Opponent - After a non division game - Coming off a Home win as a Favorite - Allowed 2 goals AGAINST in their last game; the Devils are 13-3-1 SU in this situation since 1997.
Prediction: New Jersey 2 Montreal 0
Calgary vs. Toronto
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Ron's Comment: Toronto has not been a kind place for the Calgary Flames since 1997; they are 1-8 SU vs. the Leafs either at the Old Maple Leaf Gardens or the new Air Canada Centre. Plus, the Flames are coming off a huge comeback 6-5 win over the Red Wings Thursday night; so they might come out a bit flat vs. a bad Toronto team. Expect high energy in the building this evening, its Saturday night and two Canadian teams are going head to head on National TV. When TORONTO team played as Home team as an Underdog - playing on Saturday - Coming off a 1 game loss; the Leafs are 7-4-1 SU in this underdog role since '97. When CALGARY team played as a Road team - Total is 6.0 - Last 4 years - Allowed 5 or fewer goals AGAINST in their last game; the Flames are 4-14 SU in this spot the L4Y.
Prediction: Toronto 5 Calgary 4
Atlanta vs. Buffalo
Versus
Ron's Comment: When you hear the expression “Live Underdog”, they are talking about teams like the Atlanta Thrashers. Nobody wants to play an important game vs. this team right now; they are getting outstanding goaltending, they are very well coached by John Anderson and they have snipers who can torch you in the shootout. When ANY NHL Team Played as Road team as a Underdog - During the month of March - Total is 6.0 - Coming off 1 over - Allowed 3 or less goals AGAINST in their last game; The Road Underdog (ATL) is 12-7-3 SU in this situation since 1996.
Prediction: Atlanta 4 Buffalo 3
Carolina vs. Washington
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Ron's Comment: Not sure if Caps head coach Bruce Boudreaux is getting his team prepared to play more defensively for the playoffs, but the high powered Red Machine has been on standby the last few games. Carolina has lost 2 straight and this is a good spot to play Washington, as they are going through an offensive funk. When CAROLINA team played as a Road team - Total is 6.0 - Last 4 years - Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog; The Canes are 9-3 SU in this role the L4Y.
Prediction: Carolina 3 Washington 2
Minnesota vs. Dallas
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Ron's Comment: The Wild are stuck in neutral, they can't get anything going on offense, they're 3-7 SU in their last 10 overall games and Backstrom is on an island with no help around him. Stars at home is a comfortable environment for them this evening vs. an offensively challenge team like the Wild. When DALLAS team played as a home team - Vs Conference Opponent - During the month of March - Coming off 1 under; The Stars are 9-1-1 SU in this spot.
Prediction: Dallas 3 Minnesota 1
Colorado vs. Edmonton
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Ron's Comment: The Oilers were flat Thursday night, mostly because they were playing their first home game after a long eastern road trip. Expect them to come out flying this evening vs. Ryan Smyth and the Avs. When ANY NHL Team Played as Home team as a Favorite - Before a conference game - After a non division game - With 1 day off - Coming off vs. Southeast division opponent - Coming off 2 overs - Coming off a Home loss as a Favorite; the Home Fave (EDMONTON) is 11-5-1 SU in this role.
Prediction: Edmonton 4 Edmonton 2
Nashville vs. Phoenix
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Ron's Comment: Both teams are struggling right now, but the Predators have more veterans on this team to calm things down and to play a more intelligent road game vs. this young Coyotes team. When NASHVILLE Played as road team as a Favorite - During Last 4 Years - With 1 Over; the Predators are 6-4 SU in this role the L4Y.
Prediction: Nashville 3 Phoenix 2
LA Kings vs. San Jose
Versus
Ron's Comment: The Sharks have hit the low peak of their season, they have tons of injuries and they have no chemistry and confidence on the ice at this moment of the season. Joe Thornton is struggling and the bookmakers are being way too generous with this price. When SAN JOSE played as any home/road team - During Last 4 Years - With 1 Under or More - Lost Last Game by 2 Goals or Less - With SU Record of 1 Win 2 Lost in L3G; The Sharks are 4-14 SU in this betting cycle L4Y.
Prediction: LA Kings 3 San Jose 2
03/12/09
11:19:10 am, by Ron Raymond 
, 1288 words 
Categories: Welcome, Sports Betting Blogs, National Hockey League
NHL Hockey Picks for March 12th 2009
Phoenix vs. New Jersey
Versus
Ron's Comment: The Devils took the New York Islanders too lightly last Saturday and got embarrassed 7-3. I doubt they will overlook the Coyotes this evening and expect them to come out hungry at the drop of the puck. When NEW JERSEY played as a home team - During Last 2 Years - Won Last Game by 1 Goals; the Devils are 13-6 SU in this role the L2Y.
Prediction: New Jersey 4 Phoenix 2
Calgary vs. Detroit
Versus
Ron's Comment: The Flames are having a tough "back-9" so to speak of their current road trip, as they won the first 2 games, but have now lost 3 straight. In fact, it won't get any easier this evening, as Hossa is expected back (game time decision) and the Flames are 0-7 SU in their last 7 trips to the Joe! When DETROIT team played as a home team - Last 2 years - Coming off a 2 game Home stand - Coming off a Home win as a Favorite; The Red Wings are 12-1 SU in this role the L2Y. When CALGARY played as an Underdog - During Last 5 Years - Lost Last Game by 1 Goals; The Flames are 8-20 SU in this situation the L5Y.
Prediction: Detroit 3 Calgary 2
Pittsburgh vs. Columbus
Versus
Ron's Comment: The Penguins are trying to salvage their season and enter the playoffs through the front door. More importantly, they seem to be buying into the Bylsma system and are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games. When PITTSBURGH played as any home/road team - During Last 3 Years - With SU Record of 3 Win 0 Lost in L3G; The Penguins are 27-18 SU in this spot the L3Y.
Prediction: Pittsburgh 4 Columbus 2
Ottawa vs. Boston
Versus
Ron's Comment: The Ottawa Senators have won 4 straight games and are coming off a big 3-2 overtime win last night in the Canadian Nation's Capital. However, winning 3-2 to a bad lightning team should give bettors a red flag and Boston is playing desperate hockey; but they are still tough at home. Great value if you like Ottawa, but the Bruins are rested and ready to go and the -260 line from the bookmaker tells us that! When BOSTON team played as a home team - Vs Division Opponent - Total is 5.5 - Allowed 2 goals AGAINST in their last game; The Bruins are 10-3 SU in this spot since 2000. When OTTAWA team played as Road team as a Underdog - Vs Division Opponent - Coming off a Home win as a Favorite; the Sens are 7-14-1 SU in this spot.
Prediction: Boston 4 Ottawa 2
Florida vs. Buffalo
Versus
Ron's Comment: When the Sabres lost Ryan Miller, they basically lost any hope of making the playoffs. Lalime is a quality back up goaltender, but he's not game sharp right now and it's too late in the game to start getting your timing. When FLORIDA team played as a Road team - During the month of March - Coming off 2 overs; the Panthers are 6-4-1 SU in this situation.
Prediction: Florida 3 Buffalo 2
Washington vs. Philadelphia
Versus
Ron's Comment: The Caps are still having problems finding the twain, but won with defense on Tuesday over Nashville. The Caps are 4-3 SU in their last 7 trips to the Wachovia Centre and the OVER is 7-0-0 in those last 7 trips. When WASHINGTON team played as a Road team - During the month of March - Coming off a 1 game win; the Capitals are 12-2-1 SU in this role.
Prediction: Washington 5 Philadelphia 4
Tampa Bay vs. Toronto
Versus
Ron's Comment: The Lightning are 1-6 SU in their last 7 visits to the Air Canada Centre, but expect another tough game this evening. In fact, the Lightning always get pumped to play Canadian teams, mostly because they know they are in a fun hockey environment and some of the players want to play for Team Canada in the next Olympics and they know they are in a showcase environment. Furthermore, you may want to consider the OVER here this evening, as the OVER is 4-2-1 for Tampa Bay in their last 7 games in this building. When TORONTO team played as a home team - After a conference game - 3 games in 4 nights - Coming off a 1 game win; the Leafs are 9-2-2 SU in this spot. When TAMPA BAY played as any home/road team - During Current Season - With 1 Under or Less; the Lightning are 4-16 SU in this spot this year.
Prediction: Toronto 4 Tampa Bay 3
NY Islanders vs. Montreal
Versus
Ron's Comment: The Canadiens are coming off a big 4-3 overtime win against the Edmonton Oilers and they played hard for Bob Gainey in his first game behind the bench this season. Furthermore, the Canadiens are in a classic letdown spot vs. a bad Islanders team who's been playing hard of late and even beat the Devils 7-3 at home this past Saturday. Look for Montreal to overlook this Islanders squad this evening, as they have Brodeur and the Devils on deck this Saturday. When MONTREAL played as any home/road team - During Last 5 Years - With 1 Over - Won Last Game by 1 Goals - With SU Record of 2 Win 1 Lost in L3G; the Canadiens are 4-9 SU in this cycle.
Prediction: NY Islanders 3 Montreal 2
NY Rangers vs. Nashville
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Ron's Comment: Now that Tortorella has kicked the tires and made his views clear inside the room on what kind of team he wants his club too be, they are still a bad road team. The Rangers are 1-9 SU in their last 10 road games and are coming off a shutout lost to the Canes. When NASHVILLE team played as a home team - Last 2 years - Total is 5.5 - Coming off 2 unders; the Predators are 7-3 SU in this role the L2Y.
Prediction: Nashville 4 NY Rangers 2
Carolina vs. Dallas
Versus
Ron's Comment: The betting public's first instinct will be to back the Road Team Canes and it's easy to figure out why. Carolina has been playing solid hockey, lost a shootout game last night in Chicago and Cam Ward has been on fire. However, this is a tired team, as they are playing in a back to back game situation and this will be their 3rd game in 4 nights. Furthermore, I believe Maurice will go to his back up goalie Michael Leighton to give his starting goalie Cam Ward some rest. When DALLAS team played as a home team - Before a non division game - Coming off a 2 game losing streak; The Stars are 16-4-2 SU in this spot.
Prediction: Dallas 3 Carolina 2
San Jose vs. St.Louis
Versus
Ron's Comment: The Sharks are a battered and bruised team and they will be missing some key parts to their team this evening. St.Louis is still in the playoff picture and getting them at plus money vs. a Sharks team on the ropes is good value. When ANY NHL Team played as a home team - With 1 day off - Total is 5.5 - During the month of March - Scored 5 or more goals FOR in their last game - Coming off a Home win as a Favorite - Coming off 3 overs; the Home Team (STL) is 18-6-2 SU in this role since 1996.
Prediction: St.Louis 3 San Jose 2
Minnesota vs. Colorado
Versus
Ron's Comment: Worst game on the board to handicap; the Avs are horrible this season with their over priced veterans and the Wild are too inconsistent on offense. Flip a quarter if you have too, but Backstrom is the better goaltender in this game, should he get the nod. When MINNESOTA team played as a Road team - playing on Thursday - With 1 day off; the Wild are 21-9-3 SU in this spot.
Prediction: Minnesota 3 Colorado 2
Atlanta vs. Edmonton
Versus
Ron's Comment: The Thrashers are over achieving on their current road trip and they are 3-7 SU on the road in their last 10 games vs. Northwest division teams. When ATLANTA team played as Road team as an Underdog - Vs Western conference opponent - Coming off a Road win as a Underdog; the Thrashers are 2-12-1 SU in this spot.
Prediction: Edmonton 4 Atlanta 2
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