Ron Raymond's Sports Betting Blog

I’m often asked from new sports bettors, “what’s the difference between a team trend and a system trend?”

A “Team Trend” is when “one” particular team has been involved in certain situational outcomes from past games. A “System Trend” is when “more then one” team has been involved in various situational outcomes.

Now if you’re wondering, which one brings more value to the bettors, well that’s the 64 dollar question boggling bettors the last 20 years and it’s in the eye of the beholder. Here’s the thing, every trend and system trends brings different elements to the situation. If you recalled in my last article this week, I mentioned how “myths” play a big role in the numbers and how gamblers and handicappers like to put allot of stock in such situations like how teams do “vs. left handed pitchers” or this is a popular go against trends, and it’s “to play against a home team from the West Coast coming off a long road trip."

Here’s what my researched as proven on this last trend. Instead of playing against home teams coming off a 10 games or more road trip, you should be “playing on” WEST COAST teams coming off a long road trip, as every WEST COAST teams have a .500 or better record in their first home game after an extended road trip of 10 games ore more.

WEST COAST TEAMS RECORDS
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• San Francisco 15-7 SU and 10 overs 11 unders 1 push
• L.A. Angels 8-7 SU and 8 overs 6 unders 0 pushes
• Arizona 8-8 SU and 10 overs 6 unders 0 pushes
• L.A. Dodgers 9-7 SU and 6 overs 9 unders 1 push
• Oakland 12-8 SU and 13 overs 7 unders and 0 pushes
• San Diego 14-12 SU and 13 overs 12 unders 1 push
• Seattle 15-11 SU and 13 overs 12 unders 1 push

These are team trends, now when I ask the database to give me the result of when “any team is at home and they are coming off a 10 game or more road trip”, the SYSTEM TREND says the home teams are 262 wins, 239 loses and the OVER/UNDER favors the OVER at 262-239-22.

There you have it, there’s value in doing your research and no matter what people think about baseball stats and trends, either Team Trends or System Trends; the numbers don’t lie!

Here’s some Baseball Team and System Trends for Friday, April 18th 2008.

When PHILADELPHIA played as a Favorite - During Last 2 Years - Won Last Game by 8 Runs or More; The Phillies are 11-0 SU in this spot the last 2 years.

When MILWAUKEE Played as road team as a Favorite - During Last 5 Years - Won Last Game by 2 Runs or Less; the UNDER is 6-1-0 for the Brewers in this spot.

When DETROIT played as a road team - During Last 4 Years - Lost Last Game by 10 Runs or More; the Tigers are 0-6 SU in their next game L4Y.

When CLEVELAND team played as a Road team - Playing on Friday - 1st game of a series - Coming off a Home win - Coming off a 1 game win; the UNDER is 9-2-0 for the Indians in this role.

When ANY MLB Team played as a -100 to -120 Home Favorite - 1st game of a series - After a conference game - Vs NL EAST opponent - Coming off a Win vs. NL CENTRAL opponent - Allowed 2 runs or more AGAINST in their last game - Coming off a 1 game win; the OVER is 12-4-0 for the Home Fave in this spot. (Mets vs. Phillies game)

When WASHINGTON team played as Road team as an Underdog - Playing on Friday - Before a conference game - Allowed 3 runs or more AGAINST in their last game - Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog; the OVER is 6-4-0 for the Nationals/Expos in this situation since ’97.

When TORONTO team played as a Home team - 1st game of a series - Playing on Friday - Coming off a Loss vs. AL WEST opponent - Coming off a Home loss; the Toronto Blue Jays are 8-2 SU in this spot since ’97.

When ANY MLB Team Played as Home team as a Favorite - Total is between 9.5 to 10.0 - During the month of April - Coming off a 2 game losing streak - Coming off a night game; the Home Team is 35-17 SU in this role. (Detroit vs. Toronto game)